Risk assessment of existing
bridge structures
Daniel
Imhof
Abstract
Bridges provide critical links in the transport network, but are
vulnerable to damage by human actions, natural hazards and aggressive
environmental conditions. To avoid disruption of the network, the
adequate performance of the bridges has to be guaranteed by undertaking
strengthening, repair or replacement when necessary. To ensure the most
efficient use of limited economic resources, it is important that such
actions are only undertaken on those bridges which actually need
intervention. A bridge-specific analysis has to be undertaken to judge
the performance of a bridge with regard to the risk of collapse.
Current practice is based on safety considerations only and relies upon
deterministic evaluation of a single estimate of the factor of safety,
defined as the ratio of the structural resistance of the bridge and the
load effects induced. Although some existing assessment codes make
allowance for other important parameters such as ductility, redundancy,
or consequences of failure, to the author's knowledge there exists no
method that combines all these parameters.
In this dissertation a new comprehensive methodology has been developed
to evaluate the risk of structural collapse of existing concrete
bridges, where risk is defined as the product of the consequences and
probability of failure. In the method proposed here, the key parameters
influencing the risk of bridge collapse are identified and quantified.
The five key risk indicators chosen are: (1) current safety, (2) future
safety, (3) warning level (redundancy), (4) condition evaluation and
(5) importance (consequences of failure). Standardising curves have
been developed to transform the original indicator values of each
parameter to a common scale, so that these different indicators can
directly be compared quantitatively. A novel graphic representation of
the results, referred to as a risk spiderweb, is used to visually
highlight the relative significance of each parameter and allows
detection of the critical indicators. Finally a single performance
measure combining the risk indicators is defined as well as a minimum
acceptance criterion. By considering all risk indicators at the same
time, the failure to meet acceptance thresholds by one or more of the
risk indicators can in some circumstances be compensated for by higher
values of the other indicators. This criterion helps to decide whether
the performance of the bridge is adequate or whether intervention is
necessary.
[Cambridge University | CUED | Structures
Group | Geotechnical
Group]
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(last update 13 July 2005)